Another divisional matchup in Week 6 on Thursday Night Football against the Eagles and Giants. We’ll examine the offensive and defensive line matchups while also reviewing the pass coverage data. Most of the data comes from the Fantasy Points Data Suite and PFF. Let’s dive into the Week 6 Thursday Night Matchup between the Eagles and Giants.
Over/Under:
40.5 to 41
Implied Points:
Eagles: 24.5
Giants: 16.5
Eagles’ OL vs. Giants’ DL
The Eagles’ offensive line hasn’t been dominant, like in the past. They generate the 14th-most adjusted yards before contact per attempt (YBC/Att), yet allow pressure at the second-highest percentage. The Eagles face a Giants’ run defense, allowing the seventh-most adjusted YBC/Att, meaning it might be a favorable matchup for Saquon Barkley.
Barkley has been struggling to generate yards before and after contact per attempt while being stuffed in 53% of his rush attempts. For context, Barkley averaged 2.26 yards before contact and 3.55 yards after contact per attempt in 2024. We’ve even seen Barkley’s 13% missed tackles forced rate in 2024 fall to 5% in 2025, yet he was stuffed on 43.5% of his carries last season.
The Giants’ defensive line has been pressuring opposing quarterbacks at the 17th-highest rate. Interestingly, the Giants’ defense tends to be more of a pass-funnel one, with the 16th-highest pass rate over expected (PrROE) allowed. When pressured, Jalen Hurts ranks 17th in adjusted yards per attempt and eighth in completion rate over expected (CPOE), while targeting his first read at the fourth-highest percentage.
Giants’ OL vs. Eagles’ DL
The Giants’ offensive line struggles to create open lanes for their running backs,
ranking 27th in adjusted YBC/Att. Meanwhile, they face the Eagles’ defensive line that allows the 18th-fewest adjusted YBC/Att. It might be challenging for Cam Skattebo to grind out yards, though he fights for yards after contact.
Skattebo has taken a massive percentage of the team’s carries inside the five-yard line while forcing missed tackles and grinding out yards after contact. Tyrone Tracy Jr. has been cleared to play on Thursday against the Eagles, so we’ll see how the usage for both shakes out. Skattebo should have earned most of the snaps and opportunities, though we could see Tracy involved as a pass catcher because injuries have been hitting their roster hard.
The Giants’ offensive line sits close behind the Eagles in allowing the fourth-highest pressure rate. Jaxson Dart has been scrambling 25% of the time, ranking fifth among quarterbacks with 10 dropbacks against pressure. The passing efficiency metrics have been middle of the pack, with Dart ranking 13th in CPOE and 35th in adjusted yards per attempt. However, Dart boasts the fourth-highest catchable target rate when pressured.
Eagles’ Pass Offense vs. Giants’ Pass Defense
The Giants’ pass defense allows the fourth-fewest fantasy points per dropback across all coverages. They deploy man coverage at the second-highest percentage behind the Broncos while allowing the fifth-fewest fantasy points per dropback. Specifically, the Giants’ pass defense utilizes Cover 1 at the second-highest rate, behind the Browns in 2025.
A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith average over 2.00 yards per route run against man coverage, with Brown garnering a target on 40% of his routes. Historically, Brown and Smith can win against man coverage, but the Eagles’ passing offense hasn’t been reliable beyond 1-2 weeks.
Against Cover 1, Brown leads the team with a 36% target per route rate while producing a team-high 2.95 yards per route run. Meanwhile, Smith garners a 17% target rate and 1.58 yards per route run versus Cover 1. The Eagles project as 6.5-point favorites, so Brown and Smith will likely need to be efficient. Like the Rams’ matchup, Brown should be in a smash spot against the Giants.
Giants’ Pass Offense vs. Eagles’ Pass Defense
The Eagles’ pass defense has been middle of the pack, using man coverage 25.1% of the time (No. 15) and zone 69.7% (No. 17). Specifically, they love using Cover 3 (No. 14), Cover 4 (No. 11), and Cover 6 (No. 5) under Vic Fangio. Fangio uses a two-high safety look, which shifts before and after the snap, attempting to confuse the offense.
Among the healthy options, Wan’Dale Robinson leads the team with a 21% target per route rate while producing under one yard per route (0.94) against Cover 3, 4, and 6. Unfortunately, the Giants will be without Malik Nabers, who garners an elite 36% target rate and 3.32 yards per route versus Cover 3, 4, and 6. Theo Johnson remains the other notable pass catcher, but it’s underwhelming with a 15% target rate and 0.71 yards per route.
Thursday Night WR/CB Matchups
Darius Slayton has been ruled out, meaning the Giants will be relying on Jalin Hyatt and Beaux Collins on the outside. This might be a scary situation for the Giants’ pass catchers.
Giants’ Receivers:
Hyatt hasn’t generated a yard or fantasy point in 2025 while being targeted on 6% of his routes. Kelee Ringo theoretically might be the cornerback to target in the Eagles’ secondary, but he has performed better than expected compared to Adoree’ Jackson.
Beaux Collins (21) shared routes with Hyatt (25) in Week 5. Like Hyatt to a lesser extent, Collins might not be relevant because of his 0.05 fantasy points per route run. We examined 56 wide receiver prospects among the 2025 rookies. Collins ranked 53rd based on the usage and underlying metrics.
Robinson faces Cooper DeJean, one of the better slot cornerbacks. DeJean allows the 32nd-highest passer rating and 22nd-fewest yards per coverage snap among the 91 qualified cornerbacks. It projects as an ugly matchup in Week 6.
Eagles’ Receivers:
We discussed Brown earlier as being a potential smash spot, though the individual matchup against Cor’Dale Flott seems more mediocre. Brown still wins and earns targets against man coverage, especially Cover 1.
Smith runs a route in the slot on 62.2% of the team dropbacks, a career high after 55.7% in 2024. He projects to face Andru Phillips, who allows the seventh-most fantasy points per route run. Theoretically, Smith and Brown should have one of their efficient games to avoid panic from fantasy managers.
Jahan Dotson hasn’t been anything noteworthy. Among pass catchers who posted a 60% route percentage while garnering a target per route run under 15%, Dotson was one of 18 players to reach those marks. That suggests these pass catchers tend to be running route sprints all over the field without earning targets.